Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-02-01 1074.552077 1210.266360 1358.070650 1531.243698 1728.893729 1947.810262 2209.152105
2026-02-08 866.082964 1050.816663 1268.959725 1546.645960 1892.270416 2310.278915 2857.137259
2026-02-15 748.866705 955.960289 1214.483689 1563.127638 2024.387934 2618.378366 3448.702982
2026-02-22 672.189311 894.002369 1183.664557 1593.205450 2163.063838 2936.336710 4079.412764
2026-03-01 590.577515 812.550875 1113.469386 1556.081326 2198.707599 3110.384789 4524.241153
2026-03-08 521.278951 738.604605 1042.965386 1506.410950 2204.984368 3235.943334 4904.883614
2026-03-15 464.104801 675.059017 979.218080 1457.007501 2202.046119 3341.823027 5260.989590
2026-03-22 440.508331 657.574965 979.714623 1501.724280 2343.898639 3679.889978 6021.294897
2026-03-29 413.838594 632.474427 965.577860 1520.918866 2445.350886 3961.885388 6720.624294
2026-04-05 388.157895 606.273179 946.771066 1529.669990 2528.816859 4220.509528 7408.438591
2026-04-12 365.272177 582.302982 928.959935 1537.448690 2609.893240 4481.280520 8129.490292
2026-04-19 350.319848 569.778666 928.304871 1573.393824 2742.193824 4844.010039 9083.312993
2026-04-26 334.129504 554.281341 922.028876 1600.137357 2863.026194 5203.435856 10088.530122
2026-05-03 317.377573 536.483558 910.336501 1616.099976 2965.763352 5540.889422 11098.178304
2026-05-10 302.412265 520.465218 900.172151 1633.396097 3071.939864 5895.400720 12190.454017
2026-05-17 290.882332 509.528169 897.957720 1664.959157 3208.424222 6324.300758 13501.626501
2026-05-24 270.401407 480.783732 860.932866 1626.002219 3199.346768 6453.290302 14162.816913
2026-05-31 250.032087 450.749116 819.179904 1573.886311 3157.624276 6508.019985 14659.134338
2026-06-07 231.476178 422.814227 779.327574 1522.058269 3111.171325 6546.915923 15122.408374
2026-06-14 226.400195 420.112844 787.607117 1568.969293 3280.425786 7079.869947 16864.325408
2026-06-21 218.496742 411.344929 783.294699 1589.107724 3392.823935 7496.632290 18377.818154
2026-06-28 209.918775 400.630803 774.264163 1598.289550 3481.329993 7867.548022 19828.758787
2026-07-05 201.809829 390.282012 765.175974 1606.451294 3568.128443 8244.009850 21352.618683